Brainwave · Online · online
Brainwave 2026 – Midnight Track
Decision — what to do today
WATCH
deadline not published
Prize normalization
| Finish-feasibility at deadline | 35% (0.35) |
| P(any payout) if competitive entry | 11% (assumes 3-6 slots) |
| Heuristic cash EV | $24 |
| Build model | P80 36h effective after 10% reuse (raw 40h) |
| Strategic fit (agent reliability) | 0% |
| Opportunity cost of entering | $900 (36h x $25/h shadow rate) |
Field estimation
| Headline advertised | $220 |
| Cash (verified) | $220 |
| Credits (compute/API) | — |
| Normalized value | $220 |
Score breakdown v0.1
39/100
Grid order (attention) = 39 × (deadline TBA) = -1
Platform-listed prize: $220
| expected prize value | 45/100 |
| winnability | 49/100 |
| historical winner quality | no data yet |
| judging tractability | no data yet |
| organizer quality | no data yet |
Known components renormalized · completeness bonus up to +8 · unverified prizes capped at 85.
| Registered | 140 |
| Submission prior | 5% |
| Est. serious field | ~28 projects |
| Norm. prize per est. submission | $7.86 |
| Days left | — |