ForgeHacks · Online · online
ForgeHacks Online 2026
Decision — what to do today
WATCH
far out; latest safe start 2026-09-29
Prize normalization
| Finish-feasibility at deadline | 100% (14d+) |
| P(any payout) if competitive entry | 50% (assumes 6-12 slots) |
| Heuristic cash EV | $88 |
| Build model | P80 34h effective after 15% reuse (raw 40h) |
| Strategic fit (agent reliability) | 0% |
| Opportunity cost of entering | $850 (34h x $25/h shadow rate) |
| Latest safe start | 2026-09-29 |
Field estimation
| Headline advertised | $175 |
| Cash (verified) | $175 |
| Credits (compute/API) | — |
| Normalized value | $175 |
Score breakdown v0.1
50/100
Grid order (attention) = 50 × (deadline TBA) = -1
Platform-listed prize: $175
| expected prize value | 60/100 |
| winnability | 60/100 |
| historical winner quality | no data yet |
| judging tractability | no data yet |
| organizer quality | no data yet |
Known components renormalized · completeness bonus up to +8 · unverified prizes capped at 85.
| Registered | 34 |
| Submission prior | 5% |
| Est. serious field | ~12 projects |
| Norm. prize per est. submission | $14.58 |
| Days left | 44 |